NHL Betting Pick #1:
For the first game today we head to Boston where the Boston Bruins take on the Toronto Maple Leafs who are coming off an overtime lose to the Columbus Blue Jackets. The Bruins are 5-1-2 and the Leafs are 5-3-2. In their last three Boston is 1-2 including a loss to Toronto. While the Maple Leafs are also 1-2 with their win coming over the Bruins. The big injury to note is John Tavares, who is out with a broken finger. Tough loss for Toronto that should affect this game and how you want to bet it.
Trends of note for Boston is that they are 13-7 in their last 20 games. They are 8-3 at home against Toronto in their last 11 matchups. Additionally, they are 8-2 against the Eastern conference in their last ten.
For the Leafs they are 3-8 on the road in Boston, 1-4 in games played on a Tuesday, and interestingly enough the total has gone over in 5 of their last 6.
The model gives Boston just over a 60 percent chance to win and the Leafs just under a 39 percent chance. With the Bruins at home and the Leafs without their captain, I like the Bruins -175.