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NHL Betting Picks, Predictions, Probability and Analysis for Tuesday Slate

By Matt Klett

NASHVILLE, TN - APRIL 06: Nashville Predators goalie Pekka Rinne (35) deflects the puck into the skates of defenseman Dan Hamhuis (5) and Chicago Blackhawks center Artem Anisimov (15) during the NHL game between the Nashville Predators and Chicago Blackhawks, held on April 6, 2019, at Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, Tennessee. (Photo by Danny Murphy/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)
NASHVILLE, TN - APRIL 06: Nashville Predators goalie Pekka Rinne (35) deflects the puck into the skates of defenseman Dan Hamhuis (5) and Chicago Blackhawks center Artem Anisimov (15) during the NHL game between the Nashville Predators and Chicago Blackhawks, held on April 6, 2019, at Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, Tennessee. (Photo by Danny Murphy/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) /
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+110. 19. -130. 116. Prediction

NHL Betting Picks, #4

WSH @ TOR 7 PM ET

In the fourth game today, we have the heavyweight Capitals (8-2-3) visiting the Toronto Maple Leafs. Head-to-head Washington has won two of the last three meetings and are 7-3 in their last ten matchups with the Leafs.

In the Standings:

The Caps are currently in first place in the Metro Division with 19 points. The Maple Leafs are in fourth in the Atlantic Division with 14 points.

Home Rankings: TOR

Home Offense:

Goals: 10th

PP: 16th

Home Defense:

Goals: 29th

PK: 18th

Road Rankings: WSH

Road Offense:

Goals: 4th

PP: 7th

Road Defense:

Goals: 12th

PK: 7th

Advantage: Washington Capitals

Toronto Last 3 Games (1-2)

L MTL

W SJS

L BOS

Washington Last 3 Games (2-1)

W VAN

L EDM

W CGY

Trends for the Maple Leafs:

They are 1-4 against the Eastern Conference in their last five. The over has hit in seven of their last ten home games.

Trends for the Capitals:

The total has gone over in their last seven. 4-1 on the road in Toronto in the previous five meetings and 6-1-1 on road games this year.

Pick Analysis:

The NHL Prediction Model gives Toronto a very slight edge over Washington at 50.75%. Statistically, Washington has the clear advantage. As for trends, the Caps also dominate this. I am picking against the model. I like the Capitals who are simply the much better team on paper and statistically.

Take the Capitals +110

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